Jeff
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It
might sound crazy to accuse a team of making a mistake by signing the
leagues most dominant interior lineman during his prime years, but
hear me out here for a second.
Now
don't get me wrong, Suh is a force that any team would love to have
anchoring their defense for years to come, but at what cost? His cap
hit for 2015 is a pedestrian $6.085 million, but in 2016 it jumps to
$28.585 million. No that is not a typo. His average annual salary
will be around $19 million.
That
is just a ridiculous number for any player not throwing 40+ TD's per
year or with the last name Watt on the back of their jersey.
Few
teams can afford to dedicate that much of the cap to a defensive
tackle, and the Dolphins are not one of those teams. They are a team
lacking a single great offensive weapon, heck I would venture to say
they don't have a single very good offensive weapon. They have a few
nice pieces on defense, but this team has so many holes that could've
been nicely filled with multiple mid-level players for the same cost
as one Ndamukong Suh.
If
Detroit could only muster 2 winning seasons with Suh in the middle (a
team that has much better talent than Miami) then what makes you
think he will have more success in Miami?
An
interesting note to all of this is the fact that Suh's greatest
statistical season thus far was his rookie year. Now I'm not sure if
that's a red flag or not but it is something to at least make you
scratch your head.
Only
time will tell if this was a home run signing for the Dolphins or
not, but I have a strong feeling that within 2.5 years Suh will be
demanding a trade and unhappy with the team's lack of success.
Clayton
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Suh
is by far the most feared interior lineman in the league, but this
contract is asinine. He is well deserving, but the numbers are
outrageous. Six years, $114 million and $60 million guaranteed.
Thankfully for the Dolphins, the salary cap is expected to have major
increases soon.
Wow.
I
have two issues with this deal. First off it is back loaded after
this year. General Managers should have learned by now that that is
not a good idea.
Second,
because of the massive guarantees in the first three years and the
cap hit following will be immovable. Not just by trade, to cut him
will be a massive amount of dead money.
There
will be no Michael Johnson type cutting like Tampa just did. Miami
will have to live with this deal.
The
numbers are just crazy on this contract. Sadly, many of those pieces
you mentioned on their defense are now cut or free to go sign
elsewhere to make room for him. Bye Kendall Langford, Randy Starks,
Jared Odrick, Cortland Finnegan, Phillip Wheeler and Dannell Ellerbe.
That was just on defense! Gone too are Brandon Gibson and Brian
Hartline on offense.
Now
some of those guys have been busts signings or re-signings in Miami
(Wheeler, Ellerbe and Hartline), but that is a lot of quality talent
they will have to find on the cheap.
He
is a massive upgrade but the supporting cast is now severely
diminished. How they can improve now will be a monumental task. They
will have to nail it with their draft picks and then make smart cheap
signings. That will be difficult.
Now
about his rookie year being his best statistical year. That really is
only in sacks (10), and he has had two campaigns of eight or more in
the last 3 years. That does not take into account his hits on the
quarterback, hurries or other pressures. He was far and away the best
player on the Lions defense, who was the no. 1 rated run defense in
the NFL and no. 3 overall.
His
talent can not be overstated in my opinion. He is a four time first
team All-Pro while being on a team that for his three first years
were not very good despite his abilities. The lone year he wasn't a
first team All-Pro? 2012 and even then he was second team All-Pro.
This man is truly dominant.
There
is some talent left on the defense in Detroit, but how much is
debatable. Expect a steep drop off in Detroit without Suh or the
likely to leave Nick Fairley.
Suh
had been compared to Reggie White in the fact they were the best
defensive player to ever hit the free agent market, and I believe
this is true. Some are saying White would not have handicapped his
new team quite like this, but honestly that is a load of bull. Most
free agents seek out top dollar. Perfect example is Revis. New York
could offer more and that is where he wanted to be again. Reggie
White likely would have done just as Suh did.
You
can thank much of this contract due to the old rookie wage scale. In
a few years Dolphins fans will be crying about the talent around Suh
and blaming him for taking too much money. I can envision the
Dolphins having a hard time doing just that, but it is not Suh's
fault. In reality, it is the Dolphins fault. They offered the money.
My
prediction, he will continue to be phenomenal but the surrounding
cast will likely be average at best in most areas due to the
constraints of the deal.
SUH WILL DOMINATE! IT DOESN'T MATTER WHO IS AROUND HIM!
ReplyDeleteSo many guys gone just to sign one player. One guy does not make a defense...
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